opposition dossier
Nova Esports
2 events · 8 matches · last played 15 May 2026
scout headline · auto-computed
- ▸3-5 series (37% maps), trending UP (+63.6pp recent vs older).
- ▸Signature map: Lotus (75% W on n=4, picked 2× / opp-picked 0×).
- ▸Weakness: Ascent (0% on n=2). Force-pick into them.
- ▸Carry: swagzor (Duelist) avg 250.1 ACS (above-median for role).
- ▸Weak link: GREEN (-4.4 K/D over 19 maps).
- ▸Low plant rate (25% on n=106 ATK rounds) — passive/pick-driven attack. Play patient defense.
ai coach memo · generated
gemma-4-31b-it · 22 May 2026
Form
Strong upward trajectory; evolved from early group stage losses to a Grand Final appearance in Stage 1.
Veto Strategy
- ▸BAN: Ascent (0%) and Breeze (0%).
- ▸PICK: Lotus (75%).
- ▸DECIDER: Haven (20%).
Roster Read
- ▸CARRY: swagzor (Neon). ACS 250.1, significantly outperforming the role p50 (215) and approaching the p75 (258).
- ▸WEAK LINK: GREEN. Massive efficiency gap with an ACS of 148.7 against the role p50 of 182 and a +/- of -4.4.
- ▸IGL/Anchor: Ezeir and qiutiaN handle the Controller/Initiator core.
Tactical Fingerprint
Pick-driven style with an extremely low plant rate (25%), prioritizing early eliminations over site execution. They are incapable of closing out matches when leading the first half (0% closeout rate) and struggle in overtime (0/1).
Action Items
- ▸Target GREEN: Direct utility and aggressive pushes toward GREEN to exploit the lowest ACS and negative impact on the roster.
- ▸Deny Lotus: This is their only high-confidence map (75%). Force them onto Haven or Split.
- ▸Execute Hard: Their 25% plant rate indicates a struggle to convert picks into plants; play tight, hold the site, and force them into uncomfortable executes.
- ▸Press the Second Half: If trailing at the half, maintain aggression. Their 0% closeout rate proves they collapse under pressure when leading.
Series
3–5
Series W%
38%
Map W%
37%
7–12
Recent (5)
L-W-W-W-L
Trend
+63.6pp
map-win % delta
Last played
15 May 2026
Map pool
win % · side splits · picks · comp
Haven
n=5 · 1W–4L
Win %20%
ATK41%
DEF33%
Viper×5Killjoy×5Neon×5Omen×5Skye×3Sova×2
Picks
2·0·3
Lotus
n=4 · 3W–1L
Win %75%
ATK61%
DEF46%
Neon×4Omen×4Viper×4Fade×4Killjoy×2Cypher×2
Picks
2·0·2
Ascent
n=2 · 0W–2L
Win %0%
ATK—
DEF—
Jett×2Sova×2Phoenix×2Killjoy×1Omen×1Astra×1
Picks
0·0·2
Split
n=2 · 1W–1L
Win %50%
ATK45%
DEF42%
Raze×2Viper×2Omen×2Skye×1Jett×1Fade×1
Picks
0·1·1
Fracture
n=2 · 1W–1L
Win %50%
ATK25%
DEF75%
Neon×2Brimstone×2Cypher×1Waylay×1Skye×1Tejo×1
Picks
0·2·0
Breeze
n=2 · 0W–2L
Win %0%
ATK22%
DEF25%
Jett×2Sova×2Omen×2Neon×2Viper×2
Picks
1·1·0
Pearl
n=1 · 1W–0L
Win %100%
ATK—
DEF—
Neon×1Killjoy×1Vyse×1Skye×1Astra×1
Picks
0·0·1
Bind
n=1 · 0W–1L
Win %0%
ATK33%
DEF58%
Chamber×1Skye×1Brimstone×1Viper×1Neon×1
Picks
0·1·0
Tactical signature
pistol · bonus · plant · closeout · comeback · OT
hover for detail
Roster
ACS positioned within role IQR · row accent = role
Top comps
agent combos they run
Double-ControllerKilljoy · Neon · Omen · Skye · Viperon Haven
1-233%Double-ControllerFade · Killjoy · Neon · Omen · Viperon Lotus
2-0100%Double-Duelist Double-ControllerJett · Neon · Omen · Sova · Viperon Breeze
0-20%Double-ControllerKilljoy · Neon · Omen · Sova · Viperon Haven
0-20%Double-ControllerCypher · Fade · Neon · Omen · Viperon Lotus
1-150%Double-InitBreach · Brimstone · Chamber · Neon · Tejoon Fracture
0-10%Double-Duelist Double-ControllerJett · Omen · Raze · Skye · Viperon Split
1-0100%Double-DuelistAstra · Cypher · Jett · Phoenix · Sovaon Ascent
0-10%Double-SentinelAstra · Killjoy · Neon · Skye · Vyseon Pearl
1-0100%Double-ControllerBrimstone · Chamber · Neon · Skye · Viperon Bind
0-10%Recent matches
Form (5-map rolling W%)40%+40pp
15 May 2026L1 – 2vs FunPlus PhoenixStage 1: Grand FinalAscent 8-13 · Lotus 13-7 · Haven 6-1313 May 2026W2 – 1vs Bilibili GamingStage 1: Upper FinalLotus 13-5 · Haven 10-13 · Split 13-712 May 2026W2 – 1vs FunPlus PhoenixStage 1: Upper SemifinalsAscent 10-13 · Haven 13-7 · Pearl 13-1016 Apr 2026W2 – 0vs Wolves EsportsGroup Stage: Week 3Lotus 13-10 · Fracture 13-810 Apr 2026L0 – 2vs Trace EsportsGroup Stage: Week 2Lotus 12-14 · Split 10-1308 Apr 2026L0 – 2vs Xi Lai GamingGroup Stage: Week 2Haven 8-13 · Bind 11-1303 Apr 2026L0 – 2vs Dragon Ranger GamingGroup Stage: Week 1Breeze 5-13 · Haven 7-1331 Mar 2026L0 – 2vs EDward GamingGroup Stage: Week 1Fracture 2-13 · Breeze 3-13